Figure of the Week: A New Trend in Lebanon's Population Growth?

The Lebanese population is estimated at 5.77 million in 2023, up from 5.74 million in 2022 and 5.72 million in 2021, according to ESCWA. Lebanon's demographic trends reveal a steady growth rate since 1950, when the population stood at 1.35 million. By 2000, the population had reached 4.33 million, and by 2020, it had grown to 5.70 million. The ...

Counterfeit $50 Bills: An Issue Nearing Resolution

The issue of counterfeit $50 bills appears to be nearing a resolution. Over 80% of shops, supermarkets and gas stations now accept these bills for cash payments. The remaining 15% mainly consists of small neighborhood businesses, which have been particularly affected by the economic crisis and the fragility of a cash-reliant economy. “Most ...

Figure of the Week: $80 for a Meter of Glass, Driven by Reconstruction Needs

The price of a meter of glass has surged to $80, up from $30 before the start of the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah. This price does not include the cost of labor for installation. Glaziers attribute the increase to a surge in demand, primarily driven by the reconstruction and repair of buildings and structures damaged by Israeli ...

Lebanese Agriculture Lacks a Gateway

Lebanese farmers continue to endure substantial losses. Since the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime on December 8, the movement of refrigerated and covered trucks between Lebanon and the Arab hinterland has become increasingly irregular. All Lebanese exports and imports sent overland to and from the Arab world are reliant on transit through ...

Syria, Rebuilding the Future

According to estimates from various UN and international sources, Syria's reconstruction could yield benefits for all. However, these prospects remain uncertain and far from guaranteed. With the country still reeling from the war that followed the 2011 uprising, Syria's reconstruction is shaping up to be a lengthy and costly process, but it ...

Syria Post-Assad – Day 1: Basic Necessities, Telecommunications and the Future of the Syrian Pound

Following the collapse of Bashar al-Assad's regime, Syria is left with a crumbling economy, shaped by decades of state control and average wages barely surpassing $40 per month. The country’s economic prospects now depend largely on the removal of American and Western sanctions, as well as financial assistance from the international community. ...

Figure of the Week: Hotel Occupancy in Beirut Drops Below 10%, Regions Near 0%

The hotel occupancy rate in Beirut has fallen below 10%, while in other regions, it is approaching 0%, according to Pierre Achkar, president of the Union of Syndicates of Tourist Establishments in Lebanon. "Arab countries continue to boycott Lebanon, and European nations do not anticipate a swift return of their citizens. A mandatory waiting ...

Counterfeit Bills: A Closer Look at the Dollar

Are counterfeit dollar bills circulating in the market? If so, it's clear that this issue is not limited to Lebanon but also affects other global markets. However, the Lebanese are particularly sensitive to it due to the country's economic crisis, which has left the cash economy in a fragile state, all amid a "neither peace nor war" situation ...

E-commerce Is Thriving in Lebanon

The sector shows significant growth potential, however, realizing this requires enhancements to logistical infrastructure and improvements to the regulatory framework. According to Statista Market Insight, Lebanon’s e-commerce market is expected to reach $1.311 billion in revenue in 2024, with an average annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.88% ...

Revaluation of Inventories and Fixed Assets: A Strategic Advantage for Businesses

Industrial and commercial business owners are celebrating a major victory. Last Thursday, Parliament passed in a plenary session the bill amending Article 45 of Decree-Law No. 144 of June 12, 1959 (the Income Tax Law). This amendment grants "exceptional authorization" to income taxpayers, allowing them to revalue their inventories and real estate ...

Lebanon's Central Bank Walking a Tightrope

Lebanon’s Central Bank (BDL) is easing the pressure to appease the foreign exchange market, amid a “neither war nor peace” climate that only heightens its volatility. The decision by the BDL’s Central Council, dated November 26, 2024, reflects clear intent to implement a “flexible monetary policy” even though this approach might ...

This Week’s Figure: Zero Used Car Sales Since End of September

According to Elie Kazzi, the President of the Syndicate of Used Car Importers, losses due to damage to imported vehicles during the war between Israel and Hezbollah are estimated at around $60 million. The sector remains particularly vulnerable, as many Lebanese are reluctant to buy used cars during periods of instability, especially since they ...

Reinsurers Reluctant Toward Lebanese Insurance Companies Over Conflict

Reinsurers are hesitant to renew reinsurance contracts with Lebanese insurance companies — an expected approach in view of the conflict sparked by Hezbollah’s front against Israel. As the year-end approaches, most annual reinsurance agreements for the 40 insurance companies operating in Lebanon are set to expire. Negotiations have been ...

Figure of the Week: Flames of War Devastate 65,000 Olive Trees

The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) reports that 70% of the Lebanese agricultural sector has been affected, both directly and indirectly. Thousands of hectares have been completely or nearly destroyed, and 65,000 olive trees have been fully burned due to white phosphorus bombings, which are prohibited under ...

Assessment of Infrastructure Damage: A Collaboration Between the Government and the World Bank

Even before rebuilding residential and commercial units, priority will be given to restoring infrastructure as soon as hostilities end. This step is crucial to reestablishing the normal functioning of the social and economic fabric within any community. In this context, the caretaker government led by Najib Mikati, with the support of the World ...

In the Wake of War: How Conflict Is Shaping Consumer Choices in Lebanon

Many Lebanese have begun purchasing fruits and vegetables individually, a practice rarely seen in a culture that traditionally favors buying by the kilo. Grocery baskets have shrunk in both quantity and variety. Testimonies from mothers gathered by This is Beirut reveal a shift toward prioritizing legumes, which are more affordable than meat, ...

2025 Budget: A Looming Fiscal Crisis

With spending on the rise and revenues falling short of expectations, the 2025 budget proposal is now effectively obsolete. The government must act swiftly to withdraw it from Parliament, where it was submitted on time, to prevent a deepening crisis. Why is a crisis inevitable? The current draft budget relies on unrealistic revenue projections, ...

Trump's Economic Policies and Lebanon's Dollar Crisis

While the dollar’s value is primarily shaped by US domestic factors, its fluctuations continue to ripple through the global economy. A 2023 International Monetary Fund (IMF) study found that the negative impact of a strong dollar tends to last around two and a half years in emerging markets, compared to just one year in developed economies. The ...

Lebanon-Syria Border Crossings Under Israeli Surveillance

The Lebanon-Syria border is dotted with countless unofficial crossing points. Without natural barriers like rivers, mountains or a coastal divide, an effective demarcation of the border remains challenging. There are currently only six official crossings, three of which have been put out of operation by Israeli strikes. Masnaa, Kaa, Daboussiyeh, ...

All Eyes on Central Bank’s Reserves

Political pressure from the Amal-Hezbollah duo on the government is mounting, driven by rising complaints among the displaced population and the decrease in international aid. Faced with limited options, Lebanon is now in a state of voluntary default. All eyes are set on the foreign currency reserves of Lebanon’s central bank (BDL) and the ...

Hijacking Lebanon's Treasury Account 36

The Shiite duo (Amal-Hezbollah) reportedly has its sights set on the funds in Lebanon's Treasury Account 36 to support the displaced. This account comprises funds collected by the Lebanese state, primarily from taxes, customs duties, donations and other sources of public revenue. Recently, Hezbollah and Amal MPs and ministers, including Hussein ...

The Impact of Military Activities on 'Made in Lebanon' Products

The Lebanese industrial sector has experienced a significant loss of domestic market share, with the notable exception of the pharmaceutical and food industries, as consumers increasingly prioritize essential goods. Furthermore, opportunities for international trade have diminished. According to Ziad Bekdache, Vice President of the Association of ...

Lebanon's Grey List Status: No Reason to Panic!

Lebanon has been officially placed on the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) grey list, as announced on Friday. This expected decision came as no surprise. “Of course, we are aware of the extremely dramatic situation in Lebanon, currently,” said Mexican Gafi President Elisa de Anda Madrazo, following the FATF meeting in Paris. “I would like ...

Qlayaat Airport: It's Time to Open It to Air Traffic!

“The Qlayaat René Mouawad Airport could be opened for air traffic in emergencies to reduce the risks faced by crews and passengers at Beirut Rafic Hariri International Airport,” stated Sajih Attieh, chairman of the Parliamentary Committee on Public Works and Transport, in an interview with This is Beirut. The President of the Private Pilots ...

FATF: Lebanon Could Be Granted a Grace Period

According to several reliable sources, Lebanon could soon be added to the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) grey list. A decision is expected in five days. If confirmed, this would hardly come as a surprise. However, rumors have circulated over the past 24 hours about a possible postponement of the decision to November rather than October, ...

The Chaos of Insurance Against War Risks

Lebanon is under fire, and insurance premiums against war risks are reaching historic peaks. Reinsurers adjust the prices of premiums in real-time, responding instantly to changes in the intensity of the fighting on the ground. What is valid at one moment may no longer be so a few hours later. It’s chaos. Renewing war risk insurance policies in ...

Israeli-Iranian Conflict: The Strait of Hormuz as a Pressure Tactic

Iran may have to resort to a strategic tool: control of the Strait of Hormuz. According to several analyses, this tactic could be as devastating as a nuclear weapon. However, unlike a nuclear weapon, whose use would bring catastrophic consequences for Iran itself, the threat of closing the Strait of Hormuz serves as a form of "asymmetric ...

Maroun Khater: 'Defusing the Cheques Time Bomb'

In its meeting on October 9, 2024, the Central Council of Banque du Liban (BDL) amended main circular No. 166, extending its benefits to depositors who converted their funds from Lebanese pounds to foreign currencies after October 30, 2019. The council also updated main circular No. 147, requiring banks to return outstanding or circulating bank ...

Airline Tickets: Wartime Premiums

Lebanese authorities are resolute in their commitment to maintaining the “intact” reputation of BRHIA, ensuring stringent security measures, order and adherence to the law.  Furthermore, caretaker Minister of Interior and Municipalities Bassam Mawlawi and caretaker Minister of Transport and Public Works Ali Hamiye emphasized on Monday that ...

Oil Derivatives: Prices Linked to Security Concerns

In Lebanon, a country plagued by violent military actions, disruptions in the supply chain were predictable, although they remain limited for now. One of the most vulnerable sectors is the importation of oil derivatives. On Friday, tankers registered under the Italian flag were six kilometers off the Lebanese coast when they received orders to ...