June 15 Set for First Phase of Palestinian Weapons Handover

The first phase of the Palestinian weapons handover in the camps is set to begin on June 15. According to Palestinian sources, the Palestinian Authority (PA) has set both the date and the camps included in this initial phase: Mar Elias, Shatila, and Burj al-Barajneh in Beirut. The PA has also scheduled a second phase for July 1, covering the Jalil ...

American and Israeli Messages to Lebanon

According to information from Washington, the Americans have informed the Lebanese government that the Israelis will not withdraw from the positions they occupy in southern Lebanon unless the Lebanese side takes serious and successive steps toward disarming Hezbollah. They emphasized that Israel has no territorial ambitions in Lebanon and that ...

Palestinian Arms Top the Agenda in Abbas’s Beirut Visit

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas is expected to arrive in Beirut amid pointed remarks by Lebanese President Joseph Aoun on the issue of Palestinian weapons. Aoun emphasized that Palestinian arms in Lebanon have not served the cause of liberating Palestine, but instead fueled internal Palestinian strife as well as Lebanese-Palestinian ...

State Must Safeguard UNIFIL, as Attacks Violate Resolution 1701

Since the ceasefire took effect in Lebanon on November 27, UNIFIL (United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon) peacekeepers stationed south of the Litani River have come under multiple attacks, attributed to Hezbollah-affiliated groups. These incidents represent a direct violation of United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701 and undermine ...

Is the Qatari Model the Key to Lebanese-Israeli Relations?

Political sources reported that Lebanese officials have been repeatedly and directly informed by multiple parties that the only viable way to resolve the ongoing issues with Israel, including the withdrawal from occupied territories, an end to ongoing violations and the resolution of disputes along the Blue Line, is through direct negotiations ...

Lebanese-Syrian Border and UNIFIL Renewal: Two Critical Challenges Ahead

France has stepped in decisively to take a leading role in the border demarcation process between Lebanon and Syria—an initiative announced by President Emmanuel Macron during the visit of Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa to France. According to French sources, Macron expressed his country’s readiness to provide both the Lebanese and Syrian ...

Security Forces Given Free Rein to Pursue Hamas Military Wing

The Lebanese authorities—through the Higher Defense Council—have initiated a confrontation with the Palestinian movement Hamas, following the latter’s involvement in supporting Gaza from Lebanese territory under the full sponsorship of Hezbollah. While Lebanon has yet to address Hezbollah’s own weapons arsenal, it appears to be using the ...

Washington: Hezbollah’s Financing and Disarmament are Interconnected

Combating the financing of terrorism was a central topic for the official Lebanese delegation at the Spring Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank in Washington. The most significant discussions were held with US Treasury Department officials, particularly involving Finance Minister Yassine Jaber and Central Bank ...

Hezbollah: Caught Between Reality and Recklessness

Many in Lebanon and beyond are still grappling with what President Joseph Aoun meant when he spoke of integrating Hezbollah members into the army or security forces. Yet, his message was clear, “We do not want to replicate the Popular Mobilization Forces model in Iraq.” In other words, Lebanon’s leadership is not prepared to absorb ...

Saudi Arabia: Reform and Disarmament a Priority in Lebanon

The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is closely observing Lebanon’s progress on two critical fronts: comprehensive reform and the disarmament of Hezbollah. The recent visit of Saudi envoy Yazid bin Farhan to Beirut underscored Riyadh’s insistence on meaningful developments in both areas. According to Lebanese officials who met with the envoy, bin ...

Hezbollah: No Backtracking on Disarmament

The reconstruction of areas devastated by the war between Hezbollah and Israel hinges on two key conditions: the disarmament of the Iranian-backed group and the adoption and implementation of structural reforms. Without meaningful progress on both fronts, Lebanon will remain stalled in paralysis and increasingly vulnerable to deepening political, ...

Hezbollah's Weapons and the Specter of Civil War

Each time the issue of Hezbollah's disarmament arises, the specter of civil war is invoked. When the party was at the height of its power, discussing its weapons was off-limits. Anyone who dared to bring up the topic was branded a traitor and an (Israeli) agent, accused of trying to strip Lebanon of its “strong card.” The message was clear: ...

Morgan Ortagus Calls for Proposals to Disarm Hezbollah According to Resolution 1701

Morgan Ortagus, the US Deputy Special Envoy for the Middle East, surprised Lebanese officials with a message that was more measured and diplomatic than anticipated ahead of her visit. Rather than taking a harder line on disarming Hezbollah, Ortagus approached the issue through the framework of UN Security Council Resolution 1701 and the ceasefire ...

Pressure Is Mounting, Lebanon Urged to Set a Timeline for Hezbollah's Disarmament

A Western diplomatic source voiced concern over the situation in Lebanon, warning that mounting internal and external pressures on President Joseph Aoun’s term could lead to its failure if the first year does not yield tangible progress on multiple fronts. The source noted that high expectations surrounded Joseph Aoun’s election as president ...

Lebanon Caught Between the Hammer of Hezbollah and the Anvil of Israeli Strikes

Morgan Ortagus, Deputy US Special Envoy for the Middle East, is preparing to visit Lebanon, potentially right after Eid al-Fitr. She has laid the groundwork for this visit through a series of interviews with Arab and Lebanese media, where she emphasized a central message: Hezbollah must be disarmed. This issue is expected to be central to her ...

Rockets in South Lebanon: A Message of Military and Political Escalation

Lebanese security services are working to identify those truly responsible for the rockets launched from southern Lebanon toward Israel on Saturday. Military intelligence views the attack as suspicious, believing it is an attempt to drag Lebanon back into war. In response, Lebanese authorities are intensifying diplomatic efforts—particularly ...

TotalEnergies’ Operations Linked to Politics as Lebanon Pursues Onshore Exploration

In his upcoming visit to France on March 28, President Joseph Aoun is expected to once again raise, with French President Emmanuel Macron, the issue of TotalEnergies resuming its operations in Lebanon. Aoun had previously requested Macron’s assistance during the French president's visit to Lebanon in January, but there has been no progress on ...

Washington Begins Addressing Border Issues Between Lebanon and Israel

The Americans and Israelis surprised the Lebanese by announcing the imminent launch of indirect negotiations to resolve the dispute along the southern border, specifically at the five points still occupied by Israel following the war in support of Gaza. The talks will also address the 13 remaining points of contention along the Blue Line. Notably, ...

Israeli Airstrikes: A Renewed Message to Hezbollah

The recent wave of Israeli airstrikes, carried out between Friday night and Saturday across various areas of southern Lebanon, spanning both the southern and northern banks of the Litani River, has garnered significant attention and raised many questions. It is worth noting that these strikes, as well as targeted eliminations, have continued ...

Combating Paramilitary Financing: Key to Keeping Lebanon Off the Gray List

Lebanon's inclusion on the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) gray list can largely be attributed to the lack of cooperation from Lebanese authorities in combating the financing of paramilitary groups, particularly Hezbollah, as well as other organizations like Hamas and the Islamic Jihad Movement. The failure to address this issue was largely ...

A New Chapter for Lebanon in Saudi Arabia and the Arab Summit

The first visit of President of the Republic, Joseph Aoun, to Saudi Arabia marks the beginning of a series of future visits to the Kingdom. Saudi Arabia has repeatedly expressed its willingness to support a Lebanon that is committed to reforms, stability, and fostering strong ties both with the international community and Arab countries. This ...

Reconstruction in the Hands of the State and Hezbollah

With Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah’s funeral set to conclude this Sunday, Hezbollah will soon face pressing challenges it has sought to evade — both within its own ranks and across Lebanese society. The Hezb urgently needs a massive influx of Iranian funds to fulfill its long-standing reconstruction promises. However, recent developments indicate a ...

The Aftermath of the War: Hezbollah’s Role and Responsibility

It is becoming increasingly clear that the Islamic Republic of Iran and Hezbollah have yet to come to terms with the end of Hezbollah’s military and security role as the armed wing of the Islamic Revolution. Therefore, they are attempting by all means to maintain a foothold that would allow Hezbollah to reassert itself. However, the prevailing ...

The New Hariri

The leader of the Future Movement, Saad Hariri, returns to the political arena after three years of suspended political activity. He has given his supporters a boost of enthusiasm, enabling them to first participate in municipal and electoral council elections, followed by parliamentary elections. However, the specifics of engaging in these ...

Government: Salam and the Lebanese Forces Get the Lion’s Share

The first government of President Joseph Aoun’s mandate reflects the shifting political balance in Lebanon after the war between Hezbollah and Israel, the collapse of the Syrian regime and Western — particularly American — and Arab (especially Saudi) efforts to help Lebanon engage on the path of building a state. Notably, Hezbollah and its ...

US Priorities in Lebanon: From Government Reforms to UN Resolution 1701

The American delegation visiting Lebanon on Thursday carries several important messages, particularly regarding Morgan Ortagus, who has succeeded Amos Hochstein. Ortagus has been given the responsibility of managing Lebanon's portfolio, which includes critical issues such as government formation, policy programs, Israeli withdrawal, the release of ...

Hezbollah and the Upcoming Phase

Hezbollah’s participation in the government, whether directly or indirectly, raises many questions about its political role in the coming period and whether it will contribute to Lebanon’s openness, reform, economic recovery and reconstruction. Some argue that the group’s position after the war with Israel has rendered its presence in the ...

South Lebanon: Israel to Remain Temporarily in Five Locations

Tel Aviv announced on Friday that its army will not withdraw completely from the areas it occupies in southern Lebanon when the 60-day ceasefire agreement expires on Monday. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that the phased withdrawal process would continue after January 27, “in agreement with the United States.” According ...

Taif Agreement Carries No Provision of Monopoly on Ministerial Portfolios

For some in Lebanon, everything takes precedence over the law and the Constitution. Terms such as the National Pact, consensus, custom or even the “minutes of the Taif Agreement” are frequently misused to justify allocating the Ministry of Finance to the Shiite duo Amal-Hezbollah. This is not the first time the minutes of the Taif Agreement ...

Is a Fait Accompli Government on the Horizon?

Will Prime Minister-designate Nawaf Salam and President Joseph Aoun succeed in forming a government that aligns with their expectations and meets the needs of the Lebanese people, all while resisting political pressures, particularly from Amal and Hezbollah? Although this outcome cannot entirely be ruled out, there are warnings against its ...